Start Tracking Natural Gas Consumption in Real Time

It’s now possible to track natural gas consumption in real time, and here’s why you should. Knowing your consumption in real time makes it possible to associate consumption data with specific internal and external factors. These associations enable insights and actions into making improvements in key performance indicators (KPIs) like energy efficiency, conservation, and sustainability.

Looking at energy consumption in real time is not new.  Electrical power consumption has long been available in real time. That data is used by customers for behind-the-meter consumption analysis and benchmarking, by electrical utilities to determine demand rates, and for demand response.  In the case of real time natural gas consumption data, knowledge of the data by the customer has even broader and more powerful uses.

Using Real Time Natural Gas Consumption Data

Real time consumption tracking is useful for benchmarking and consumption analysis.  For example, matching up the rate of natural gas consumption in real time with indoor and outdoor temperatures, time of day, and other factors is useful for making comparisons with similar buildings.  Comparing the performance of “Retrofit A” vs. “Retrofit B” with real time data is a powerful way to maximize financial outcomes and system optimizations.

Building dynamics can be determined and used to reduce wasted energy.  If the data show that consumption causes indoor temperatures to overshoot their targets (e.g. on sunny mornings), a case can be made for installing a proactive energy control system.  A similar analysis can be used for cooling applications that use natural gas fired chillers.

For larger portfolios of buildings, benchmarking the KPIs of similar buildings, then applying an energy conservation technology to one of the buildings will quickly demonstrate how much energy can be saved with that conservation technology.  From there,  ROI calculations can be made to determine if that conservation measure should be applied to the other buildings.

Faster, More Accurate Insights

Having consumption data available in real time yields faster and more accurate insights.  The problem with the commonly used method of analyzing monthly billing data  is that there’s a lot of useful information that’s missing because it’s impossible to extract it from the data.  Billing data may include degree heating days and/or degree cooling days to match up with the consumption data, but that level of granularity has limited usefulness.  First of all, the data that adds up to degree days provides very little potential for drawing actionable insights.  The data doesn’t tell you what temperatures were and when (e.g. nights, weekends, etc) and what other factors were present, such as sunlight, wind, and occupancy level.  Whatever insights that can be derived from the billing data might take a whole heating season to compile, and even then the conclusions might still be missing the mark.

Real time data can be used to separate out or factor in variables.  In some cases it’s even possible to turn on and off energy saving features, adjust heating curves, or the like.  Doing so can help to quantify the level of impact from the new feature or setting. 

Real Time Energy Use Intensity (EUI)

For the purpose of illustration, here’s a simplified example of an hour by hour comparison of energy use intensity (EUI) on a scale of 1-10 over the course of 24 hours.  Lower average EUI with the same external factors yields lower energy costs and lower emissions.

The chart shows average hourly EUI dropping from 5.3 to 4.3 over two “identical” 24 periods.  Lowering EUI by approximately 10%, as in this example, is a substantial gain in efficiency.  In reality, data can be obtained in even shorter time increments for an even greater level of granularity.  As the data would be reported in therms (or similar),  it becomes easier to calculate costs and savings.

Natural Gas Consumption, Carbon Emissions and Carbon Tax

In addition to saving money through reduced consumption, building owners, managers, and REIT investors also gain knowledge and insight regarding the quantity of CO2 emissions that are eliminated by lowering gas consumption.  Lowering CO2 emissions has value, but the dollar value is difficult to quantify today.  However, wherever a price is put on carbon emissions, those calculations become straightforward and readily available.

Next Steps

Contact CIMI Energy to learn more about tracking your natural gas consumption in real time. 

CIMI Energy uses Energy Star Portfolio Manager and other tools to turn your real time data into action .

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Energy Storage Systems

Energy storage systems (ESS) present an opportunity for lowering energy costs, particularly for large energy consumers like industrial plants, hospitals, and large multifamily complexes. This is especially relevant in Massachusetts and New York, where incentives make the financial benefits compelling.

What is the value of storing energy?

ESS provide value in several ways.  For one, these systems can be configured to help utilities  reduce the energy transmitted during peak weather events, such as exceedingly hot or cold days.  The batteries are loaded in anticipation of the peak event, and subsequently disbursed of energy during the peak event.  By disbursing the energy in this way, the ESS acts like a small scale power plant.   This lowers power transmission spikes and the very high costs often associated with them.

Grid stability and resiliency are additional benefits.  If part of the grid goes down, for example, during a weather event like Superstorm Sandy, the energy in the batteries can be used to provide power in a local area, if they’re integrated within a microgrid.

A fourth point of value is in the context of renewable energy, particularly solar and wind energy.  Both energy sources are growing quickly, particularly in Massachusetts and New York State.  Solar and wind capture energy, but not always when it’s needed most.  So the ESS stores excess (or cheaper) energy when it’s produced, and then disburses it when its value is optimized.

ESS Optimization

As noted, customer-sited energy storage systems provide benefits to power producers and power distributors.  These benefits are monetizable for the owner of the ESS.  In a typical scenario, the utility pays the owner of the ESS for power drawn from the ESS to the grid. 

In a second common scenario, the energy is used on-site to flatten out demand and reduce utility demand charges.  Our partner, Enel X provides value in both scenarios.  The company’s software optimizes the revenue for the owner of the ESS, buying power when it is cheaper, storing it in the ESS, and either using it when utility demand charges kick in, or selling it back to the grid.

Development and Ownership of the ESS

Obtaining an ESS is not akin to buying an appliance or new motor… there’s much more scale and complexity with the storage system.  As you might expect, the capital requirements are significant.   Fortunately, they do not have to be born by the property owner.

For most ESS installations, the engineering, planning, installation, ownership, maintenance and operation of the ESS can all be farmed out, typically to one single entity.  That entity is proficient in doing (or managing) all of those things.  For most organizations considering an ESS, this is the type of arrangement that’s most suitable.  Exceptions might be large Fortune 500 type companies that have the scale to develop and maintain the specialized knowledge and expertise that’s needed to optimize the ESS.

The ESS developer/maintainer/owner attempts to maximize revenue from the equipment.  The owner of the property on which the ESS sits gets paid a percentage of the revenue derived from the ESS.  Because the payment is a percentage, it keeps the interests of all the parties, ESS owner and property owner, aligned.  

For the property owner upon which the ESS sits, there’s no capital required.   The ESS generates revenue with no downsides.

Resources

A good extra resource on this subject, with content that goes beyond battery storage can be see on this page published by the Federal government’s Energy Information Administration. 

Proving the Financial Soundness of Investments in Energy Use Reduction

Reducing energy use in buildings often requires an investment of capital, making an obligation of some sort, or both. As with any investment, there needs to be an acceptable financial return.

Returns are usually quantified in dollars saved. When looked at strictly from a dollars point of view, the investment can be looked at like other investments. The investment might even be compared to alternatives such as repaving a parking lot, expanding a workout area, or hiring more staff. Except it should be easier to quantify the return on the investment in energy reduction. Energy consumption can be easily measured. Things like parking lot improvements and staff may be desirable, but the returns are largely guesswork.

Payback Period

One of the easiest ways to quantify energy reduction return expectations is by estimating a simple payback period. Divide the expected annual savings by the initial cost.  If an expected simple payback period is really long, like 15 or 20 years, that investment can be quickly eliminated from contention without spending any more time on it.  There are probably  alternatives out there that will get a much faster payback.

Limitations to payback period as an investment metric include not quantifying changes in maintenance costs, which are not part of the initial investment. Also not accounted, but very significant are the returns that accrue after the payback period ends.  The time value of money is not accounted for.

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)

Discounted cash flow accounts for the time value of money, and is therefore a metric that can be used if the quick-and-easy payback period metric passes muster.  DCF provides a closer look at the attractiveness of the investment opportunity.

DCF requires using a discount rate.  Different discount rates  make large impacts on the results of the analysis.  Therefore, it’s important to use one that is realistic, and even more important, to be consistent in using the same discount rate for all DCF analyses. 

Net Present Value (NPV)

Net Present Value also accounts for the time value of money, as  DCF is used to determine NPV.    Calculating the NPV results in either a positive number or a negative number.  A positive result usually indicates that an investment is worth doing.

Where NPV is less clear is when two different investment alternatives end up with positive NPVs.  The larger NPV is usually the best.  However, if more initial capital is required to reach that higher NPV, and that capital requirement comes at the expense of other things, such as necessary maintenance, then the answer is not so clear cut.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

The internal rate of return is another useful metric.  It shows the discount rate where the NPV of cash flows = zero (assuming NPV is positive).   The IRR is useful for determining if an investment is worthwhile.   If the IRR is higher than the cost of capital, and there is confidence in the assumptions made to determine the IRR, then the investment is probably worthwhile.

Valuation Effects

Another consideration for energy cost reduction is how the reduction in costs effects valuation.  A change to energy assets that creates a lasting and meaningful energy cost reduction most definitely will increase the value of the property or business.  Of course, to be true, the scale of energy use reduction must have a material affect on the cost structure. 

More details about the subject of how energy costs cuts affect valuation is available in this blog post.

Other Financial Considerations

In the world of energy efficiency, there are often additional factors to consider.  Some of these factors include:

  • No money down loans
  • Low interest loans
  • Energy services agreements (ESAs)
  • Tax credits
  • Tax deductions
  • Accelerated depreciation
  • Grants
  • Discounted fuel
  • Discounted power
  • Tradeable credits, and more.

CIMI Energy Can Help

CIMI Energy can perform these financial analyses and write up reports that help you to prioritize where to focus.  

Beyond the financial aspects of these investments, there are  environmental and sustainability considerations. CIMI Energy can help with this also.  If so desired, these considerations can be considered within the reports. 

Identifying Opportunities for Energy Savings

Energy is used in many ways, from heating to cooling to power and motion.  Opportunities to lower energy use are available in all of these areas.  The challenge is to identify the best areas for reducing energy consumption by balancing opportunities with their costs.  It’s possible to find a positive net present value (NPV) for many different upgrades.

Energy Audits

For many building owners and managers, an energy audit is a worthwhile first step.  Often there are some glaring opportunities that easily apparent.  Old technologies that use lots of energy are an example.  Energy audits can provide a list of items where deficiencies exist, which can be prioritized and addressed by order of value.

Technical Fixes

The low-hanging fruit for energy reduction efforts is through the application of technical fixes.  In new-builds as well as in retrofit situations, older technologies are being supplanted by new.   Many leading industrial companies such as 3M, GM, and Volvo Group have made great efforts to reduce their use of energy in their processes.  For example, Volvo Group announced in May 2018 that they have successfully reduced their energy consumption by 25% at their US facilities!  As a company in an energy-intensive business, Volvo Group’s savings is impressive, and impactful.  Reducing costs, lowering environmental impacts, and increasing competitiveness and investor returns are all resulting benefits.

Technical fixes are also available for other large energy users such as multifamily buildings, hospitals, and hotels.  Larger organizations may have in-house expertise, or work with management companies that dedicate staff to energy reduction efforts.  Smaller and medium size organizations in these business areas also stand to benefit from significant cost savings, and a corresponding increase in profitability.

Operational Fixes

As noted in the article at the Volvo link (above), that company is going beyond technical fixes:  “As we shift from technical changes — which tend to have a large one-time impact — to operational and behavioral changes that are more people-driven” the company’s objectives are to continue to reduce energy consumption. 

Companies like Volvo Group are showing great leadership in their commitment to, and success in  reducing energy consumption.  The behavioral and operational changes are a frontier that is ahead for everyone, though for the time being, for most, it is the technical changes which will bear the quickest payback.